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Oil Experts To Spar On Iran Deal: Crude To $150 Or $50?
LIVE NOW:
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) June 16, 2026******************
With oil prices plunging after the announcement of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement and plans to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, traders are asking: Is the geopolitical risk premium gone, or is the market setting up for another shock?
Tonight at 7pm ET, veteran commodities strategist Jeff Currie and energy economist Anas Alhajji join host Erik Townsend to debate where oil heads next.
The tentative agreement sent crude sharply lower as investors price in the return of halted supply and reduced odds of a prolonged Middle East conflict. Though a deal is still anywhere from solidified, as tonight’s host just pointed out…
Executive summary: We're not actually committing to agree to anything, but if you give us twelve billion dollars cash up front, we're willing to show up for a meeting and THEN spend 60 days telling you the answer on giving up our high-enriched uranium is still NO.
— Erik Townsend 🛢️ (@ErikSTownsend) June 15, 2026Currie, formerly Carlyle and Goldman, has long argued that structural underinvestment, declining spare capacity, and growing demand leave the global oil market far more vulnerable than most investors appreciate, even if Hormuz were to open today (opening is scheduled for Friday). The underlying supply picture remains tight, and today's relief rally in financial markets may prove temporary. Oil prices have already fallen from war-driven highs near $120 per barrel to cracking below $80 this morning, following the truce announcement.
Alhajji, meanwhile, frequently challenges conventional supply-shortage narratives, emphasizing the industry's ability to respond to higher prices and warned against “permabulls” extrapolating geopolitical disruptions into permanent structural deficits. With the market now shifting its focus from military escalation back toward inventories, production growth, OPEC policy, and demand trends… the next few months will prove a key moment to assess whether structural supply issues are as severe as some analysts say.
Oil permabulls got smoked!
Here is a great advice form Will Rogers: “If you find yourself in a hole, stop digging.” https://t.co/6UPnCq9x24 pic.twitter.com/Nec4RizReM
Currie, Townsend, and Alhajji will examine whether the reopening of Hormuz fundamentally changes the outlook, how much spare capacity actually exists, whether the recent war exposed deeper vulnerabilities in global energy markets, and what investors should expect from oil prices over the remainder of 2026. And also… will a failed ceasefire send markets into a more severe panic than before?
Tune into the ZeroHedge homepage, X feed, or YouTube channel tonight at 7pm ET to watch live.
Tyler Durden Tue, 06/16/2026 - 12:40Rüfüs Du Sol has four shows at MSG. Get tickets with a discount
Sarah Pidgeon channels Carolyn Bessette Kennedy for date night with Joe Alwyn
Sarah Pidgeon channels Carolyn Bessette Kennedy for date night with Joe Alwyn
Moment vicious brawl breaks out in stands of Iran World Cup match
We’re newly married and sleep in separate bedrooms — and it doesn’t sacrifice our intimacy
Supreme Court Rejects Bid By 98-Year-Old Appeals Judge To Be Reinstated
Authored by Matthew Vadum via The Epoch Times,
The U.S. Supreme Court on June 15 declined to take up the case of a 98-year-old federal judge’s challenge to her ongoing suspension from an appeals court in the nation’s capital.
The court’s new decision in Newman v. Moore took the form of an unsigned order. No justices dissented. The court did not explain its decision.
Judge Pauline Newman, who turns 99 on June 20, sits on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit. She filed a petition in March with the Supreme Court, arguing that the Federal Circuit unconstitutionally forced her out of her position after an investigation found her alleged cognitive deterioration rendered her unfit for the job.
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, which is not to be mistaken for the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, is a specialized court that has exclusive jurisdiction, or authority, to hear cases involving patents, trademarks, international trade, government contracts, and federal personnel and employment issues.
Newman, who was appointed in 1984 by President Ronald Reagan, is an authority on patent law and a high-profile author of dissenting court opinions.
The lead respondent in the case is Chief Federal Circuit Judge Kimberly Moore.
Moore signed an order in 2023 saying that a three-judge committee consisting of herself and two others found there was “a reasonable basis to conclude [Newman] might suffer a disability that interferes with her ability to perform the responsibilities of her office.”
Newman failed to undergo medical testing after an expert recommended it, the order said. Newman also declined to accept service of orders, saying she “was not interested in receiving any documents regarding this matter,” and directed the mailroom at her residence not to accept the orders.
Later the same year, a council of judges barred Newman from hearing new cases for one year or until she underwent court-ordered medical examinations.
“We are acutely aware that this is not a fitting capstone to Judge Newman’s exemplary and storied career,” the council said at the time, adding it had no choice because she was “no longer capable of performing the duties of her judicial office.”
In the petition, Newman’s attorneys said the judge remains intellectually and physically robust.
They cite Dr. Aaron G. Filler of the Institute for Nerve Medicine in San Diego, who produced a report in 2024 saying that the then-97-year-old Newman “appears generally healthy and active as if 20 or more years younger than her stated age.”
Newman “engages normally and fluidly in interaction and conversation without any apparent diminishment that might be associated with age in the 10th decade as to other individuals,” Filler said.
The physician said Newman was a “Super-Ager,” which means she “does not demonstrate effects of age on cognition or demeanor comparable to many others at this age.”
“Based on my experience as an attorney and my expertise as a physician, the content of her speech is entirely appropriate for a serving Court of Appeals Judge,” Filler said.
Newman sued the council in federal district court in Washington. That court dismissed the lawsuit in 2024, finding that the courts have “consistently affirmed the judiciary’s authority to police itself.”
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit affirmed the ruling in 2025.
Newman’s attorneys said in the petition that Moore has “improperly” used the federal Judicial Councils Reform and Judicial Conduct and Disability Act of 1980 “to perpetually sideline Judge Newman until she gives in to the bullying and retires or takes senior status.”
Senior status is a form of semi-retirement for judges aged 65 or older who have served a minimum number of years of judicial service. Such judges work reduced caseloads but retain their full salary. Taking senior status creates a vacancy on a court, which the sitting president may then fill.
U.S. Solicitor General D. John Sauer filed a brief in May on behalf of Moore, urging the Supreme Court not to accept the case.
Sauer said the lower courts correctly ruled that the law bars most district court reviews of judicial council decisions in misconduct or disability cases.
Andrew Morris, a lawyer at the New Civil Liberties Alliance, which represents Newman, said he was disappointed that the justices “did not take this opportunity to protect judicial independence.”
“We will continue to pursue available avenues to vindicate Judge Newman against her stealth impeachment,” he said.
A spokesperson for the Federal Circuit declined to comment.
Tyler Durden Tue, 06/16/2026 - 12:20