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Trump sees Iran cease-fire ‘on massive life support’ — ‘1% chance of living’

NY Post
3 months ago
"I would say the ceasefire is on massive life support, where the doctor walks in and says, 'Sir, your loved one has approximately a 1% chance of living.'"
Steven Nelson

Rory McIlroy limping during final round causes worry for PGA Championship

NY Post
3 months ago
McIlroy fired a final-round 67 after struggling with a 75 on Saturday — a round that included six bogeys and knocked him out of contention. McIlroy ended up finishing tied for 19th.
Justin Terranova

Knicks advance to 2026 Eastern Conference Finals. How much are tickets?

NY Post
3 months ago
Jalen Brunson and co. are waiting to see if they'll meet the Pistons or Cavs next.
Matt Levy

Chelsea Handler’s dinner with Jeffrey Epstein dragged into Kevin Hart roast

NY Post
3 months ago
Handler previously spoke about the "weird" dinner she attended at Epstein's home during a podcast in February 2021.
mliss1578

Chelsea Handler’s dinner with Jeffrey Epstein dragged into Kevin Hart roast

NY Post
3 months ago
Handler previously spoke about the "weird" dinner she attended at Epstein's home during a podcast in February 2021.
Connor Surmonte

TikTok launches £3.99 subscription for no ads in UK

BBC Tech
3 months ago
Those who don't subscribe will be able to use the platform for free - but be shown personalised ads by default.

ASP Isotopes Subsidiary Signs MOU With European Nuclear Technology Company For Fuel Supply

Zero Rss
3 months ago
ASP Isotopes Subsidiary Signs MOU With European Nuclear Technology Company For Fuel Supply

ASP Isotopes said its subsidiary Quantum Leap Energy LLC has signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding with an unnamed European nuclear technology company to explore a potential long-term partnership to supply fuel for advanced nuclear reactors, according to a company press release Monday morning. 

The agreement focuses on high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU), a type of nuclear fuel enriched to more than 10% uranium-235 that is expected to play a key role in powering next-generation reactors. Under the proposed arrangement, the European company would provide uranium feedstock to Quantum Leap Energy’s planned conversion and enrichment facilities, where it would be processed into HALEU and potentially deconverted before being delivered back to the partner.

The PR says that the companies said they will conduct technical and economic assessments to determine whether a long-term commercial partnership is viable. Those evaluations will examine production scalability, operational requirements, costs, and potential business models.

The memorandum runs through Dec. 31, 2030, though either party can terminate it earlier. It also includes preliminary estimates for HALEU supply volumes, with potential deliveries beginning in 2028 and increasing through 2036 in line with the European company’s reactor development schedule.

The deal comes as governments and nuclear developers race to secure new sources of HALEU amid concerns over limited global supply and geopolitical risks tied to existing nuclear fuel supply chains. Industry leaders have warned that expanding enrichment capacity — particularly in the U.S. and allied markets — will be critical to supporting the rollout of advanced nuclear technologies.

Recall we wrote last month that ASPI was working to provide timely relief for the global helium shortage.

In a research note from Canaccord Genuity analyst George Gianarikas last month, he highlighted the company’s Virginia Gas Project in South Africa as a potential new source of supply just as Qatar’s helium exports face major disruption.

The warning came shortly after we reported on Qatar’s Ras Laffan complex damage and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which together threaten roughly one-third of global helium output. Helium remains essential for semiconductor manufacturing, MRI machines, aerospace systems, and quantum computing. It has no practical substitute in chip fabrication, where it cools wafers and detects microscopic leaks.

ASP Isotopes’ Virginia Gas Project stands out because of its unusually high helium concentrations. The 1,870 sq. km deposit averages 3.4% helium, with peaks reaching 12%. That compares with Qatar’s typical 0.01% and the U.S. average of 0.35%.

As we discussed last month, Phase 1 drilling wrapped up four months ahead of schedule in March 2026. Production is scheduled to begin in late 2026, delivering 58 MCF per day of helium alongside LNG. 

Phase 2, targeted for completion around 2030, would scale output to 895 MCF per day. Using conservative pricing of $380 per MCF, Canaccord estimates Phase 1 revenue near $20 million annually and Phase 2 above $285 million.

The project benefits from U.S. International Development Finance Corporation backing and is located in a geopolitically neutral jurisdiction.

ASP Isotopes now faces the standard execution challenges of moving from drilling to full commercial output, but the asset positions the company as one of the few near-term Western-aligned sources capable of adding meaningful new supply.

Tyler Durden Mon, 05/11/2026 - 12:05
Tyler Durden

NYC man stabs neighbor in the chest after broomstick brawl: officials

NY Post
3 months ago
Jayvon Boyd stabbed Frank Brown in the chest inside 429 Bainbridge St. around 7:40 p.m. on Friday after the two got into an argument, according to a criminal complaint. 
David DeTurris

Taylor Swift’s lacy date-night skirt is under $300, and it’s selling out fast

NY Post
3 months ago
Just be sure to shop swiftly.
mliss1578

Taylor Swift’s lacy date-night skirt is under $300, and it’s selling out fast

NY Post
3 months ago
Just be sure to shop swiftly.
Hannah Southwick

We asked vets about the best CBD for dogs for calmer pups (and owners)

NY Post
3 months ago
CBD for D-O-G? Sure thing!
Emma Sutton-Williams, Sophie Cannon

‘Summer House’ cast eviscerates ‘lying’ West Wilson in first look at bombshell reunion

NY Post
3 months ago
In March, the sports journalist confirmed his "connection" with co-star -- and his ex-girlfriend Ciara Miller's BFF -- Amanda Batula.
mliss1578

‘Summer House’ cast eviscerates ‘lying’ West Wilson in first look at bombshell reunion

NY Post
3 months ago
In March, the sports journalist confirmed his "connection" with co-star -- and his ex-girlfriend Ciara Miller's BFF -- Amanda Batula.
Riley Cardoza

Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already

Zero Rss
3 months ago
Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

The parabolic semiconductor rally crossed a line this week. SOXX, the iShares Semiconductor ETF, closed Friday at $509.77 after touching a fresh intraday high of $511.68. That’s a gain of roughly 244% from the April 2025 low of $148.31. Most of that move has been compressed into the last two months alone. Since mid-March, SOXX has tacked on another 58%. The chart is now textbook parabolic. And parabolic charts almost never end politely.

If you wanted a real-time stress test of how fragile this move is, you got one this week. Semiconductors took a -2.86% hit on Thursday on softer Iran headlines, with Broadcom and Micron dragging. By Friday’s open, the dip was already being bought aggressively. A stronger-than-expected April jobs report (115,000 vs. 65,000 expected) and renewed peace-deal optimism sent the Nasdaq up 1.71% on the day, with SOXX printing a new intraday high before the close. That’s not a market digesting risk. That’s a market refusing to take “no” for an answer.

I’ve watched this movie before. After 30 years of cycles, the ending is rarely a surprise. The setup, however, is almost always sold as “this time is different.” It isn’t. In fact, every parabolic semiconductor rally in modern memory has ended the same way, and there’s no reason to expect a kinder math this round.

Where The Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Stands Today

Start with the math, because it’s doing the talking. SOXX is currently trading 62% above its 200-day moving average and 34% above its 50-day. Readings that stretched are the back end of a move, not the middle. The slope of the advance has steepened in each successive month. That is the signature of a momentum trade pulling in late buyers, not of fundamentals catching up to price.

Look across the complex, and the dispersion is striking. Micron is up nearly 1,000% off its April 2025 low. AMD is up roughly 450%. Nvidia, the index’s anchor, is up “only” 140%. Notably, the stocks that crashed hardest a year ago have rallied the most in the recovery. That’s exactly how late-cycle chase trades behave. The trash leads the way up because it has the largest short position to cover and the most leverage to a narrative. In other words, this parabolic semiconductor rally is now being driven by the names with the worst fundamentals, not the best.

Notice in the chart above how the slope of the advance has steepened in each successive month. The early move off the April low was a recovery. The middle was a trend. What we have now is something else.

Real Demand Or A Speculative Frenzy?

I get the bull case. AI capex is real. Hyperscaler orders are real. Foundry utilization is real. Nvidia, Broadcom, and TSMC are delivering numbers that justify premium multiples. So far, so good. The shortage narrative around HBM memory and leading-node capacity has actual data to back it up, and that’s the part of the story bulls keep pointing to.

However, here is the problem with the current setup. A real fundamental story doesn’t require a parabolic chart to validate it. In fact, fundamentals tend to drag prices up the trend line, not push them through the ceiling. When a “shortage” narrative arrives at the same moment that the worst-quality names in the sector are leading the index higher, that’s not fundamentals at work. That’s the narrative being recycled to justify a move that has already happened. Indeed, the parabolic semiconductor rally we’re seeing right now bears almost none of the hallmarks of a fundamentals-led advance.

Look at the dispersion again. If this were a shortage-driven, fundamentals-led rally, the leaders would be the names with the cleanest demand visibility. Instead, the laggards from a year ago are the runaway winners. Micron up 1,000%. AMD up 450%. Nvidia, the company that actually owns the AI capex story, up “only” 140%. Quality is being left behind because the chase is no longer about earnings. It’s about beta.

Here’s the part that should bother bulls the most. SOXX is trading at multiples that already reflect strong 2026 earnings. The current rally has likely already fully priced in 2026 earnings. From here, you are paying for 2027 and 2028 growth in a sector where the cycle has not been repealed. Semiconductors are still cyclical. Always have been. The day the AI capex cycle hiccups, even briefly, is the day this chart breaks.

Make no mistake, the rally has been spectacular. The exit will be too. Importantly, we have decades of data on what happens when speculative momentum compresses years of expected returns into months. The pattern is remarkably consistent across asset classes and across decades. As a result, the path forward for this parabolic semiconductor rally is not a mystery, even if the timing is.

The consistent thread is that parabolic charts don’t unwind through gentle rotation. They snap. The exit is faster than the entry, and the stocks that led the rally on the way up tend to lead the carnage on the way down. The investors most hurt are not the ones who avoided the move entirely. They’re the ones who showed up late, on the back of the same shortage narratives that are now circulating around semiconductors.

Recovery time is the part most investors underestimate. Cisco, the poster child of the dot-com semiconductor adjacency, only reclaimed its March 2000 peak on December 10, 2025. That’s 25 years, 8 months, and 13 days from peak to recovery. The business kept growing throughout. Earnings kept compounding. Revenues nearly quintupled. The stock simply paid forward too many years of growth at the top, and the math demanded a quarter century to absorb the excess.

Anyone who bought at the 2000 peak earned a nominal break-even after factoring in dividends, but lost meaningfully to inflation along the way. That’s not a recovery story. That’s a generational opportunity cost. ARKK, which ran +360% into its 2021 peak, still trades below it five years later. Different decades, different assets, but the pattern holds. Speculative tops resolve through painful, prolonged drawdowns, not graceful rotations.

The Risk Management Playbook

So what do you actually do? Of course, the answer depends on whether you’ve ridden this rally or you’re staring at the chart wondering if it’s too late to participate. Honestly, the answer for most investors is the same in either case. You don’t have to be all-in or all-out. You just can’t let the position size make the decision for you.

Here is the playbook we’re using for clients right now. First, five points if you’re already invested. Then, two if you’re not.

The Bottom Line

The semiconductor rally has been one of the most extraordinary moves of the post-COVID era. The fundamentals supporting the early stages of the move were real. The fundamentals supporting the most recent leg are increasingly imaginary. SOXX has likely fully priced in 2026 earnings already, and the stocks leading the index higher are no longer the ones with the cleanest demand stories.

Of course, parabolic charts rarely give back gracefully. Cisco, oil, silver, and ARKK all showed that exits come faster than entries, and recovery can take years to decades. The parabolic semiconductor rally has been spectacular. The exit will be too. The question isn’t whether the chart cools off. The question is whether you’ve prepared your portfolio for it before it does.

Tyler Durden Mon, 05/11/2026 - 11:45
Tyler Durden

Moderna Extends Rally After Two More Cruise Ship Passengers Test Positive For Hantavirus

Zero Rss
3 months ago
Moderna Extends Rally After Two More Cruise Ship Passengers Test Positive For Hantavirus

Moderna shares are up another 7% in premarket trading, as renewed alarm over the hantavirus-plagued MV Hondius cruise ship energizes investor focus on the company's vaccine pipeline.

The latest news catalyst: Two passengers evacuated from the cruise ship on Sunday tested positive, reinforcing concerns that the outbreak remains active.

The Hondius is moored at a port in Spain's Canary Islands.

On Sunday, passengers were escorted off by personnel in protective gear before being flown home on government and military aircraft.

Seventeen Americans were taken to the University of Nebraska Medical Center, with one sent to the Nebraska Biocontainment Unit and the others placed in the National Quarantine Unit for monitoring.

The outbreak has killed three people, with five additional infections among passengers who had already left the ship.

Last Friday, we asked whether the vaccine trade is back, given news from beleaguered Moderna that it had started work on an early-stage vaccine targeting hantaviruses.

The surge in corporate media coverage of hantavirus has sent Moderna shares up nearly 20%. The latest news on Monday sent the stock up another 7% in premarket trading in New York.

Longer timeframe for Moderna stock:

Polymarket odds of a hantavirus pandemic this year are about 8%.

//--> //--> Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes 8% · No 92%
View full market & trade on Polymarket

Will hantavirus be enough to change Wall Street's neutral sentiment around the pharma stock? 

Global health officials are honing in on Argentina as the likely source of the virus, since the ship departed from there on April 1. Patient zero was a Dutch man who had traveled in Argentina and South America before boarding the ship. The Dutchman and his wife have since passed.

Tyler Durden Mon, 05/11/2026 - 11:25
Tyler Durden

I’m a ‘certified pooper’ — what I keep in my ‘poopmaxing purse’ for optimal digestion and butt health

NY Post
3 months ago
With "fibermaxxing" all the rage, poop-fluencers are packing their purses to "make pooping cozy again."
Rachel Sacks

Swollen-faced Vladimir Putin mocked over appearance: ‘In dire need of some Botox touch-ups’

NY Post
3 months ago
"Putin, what's with the face?"
Anthony Blair

21-year-old to have legs amputated after legs locked straight, bent backwards

NY Post
3 months ago
A young woman will have both her legs surgically amputated after they bent at a 45-degree angle upwards.
SWNS

Terrified Dems plot massive voting change to stop all-Republican governor primary

NY Post
3 months ago
A law that was supported by Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger to give all candidates an equal chance at the ballot is now being contested.
Zain Khan

Boneheaded boss asks employee to ‘adjust’ dad’s funeral date and prioritize work: ‘Crazy audacity’

NY Post
3 months ago
This boss was dead serious when she asked an employee to “adjust” the date of his father’s funeral for the sake of the job. 
Asia Grace

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News feeds

  • Americans Are Falling Into The Socialist Trap By Blaming Capitalism For Damages Of Statism
  • Swalwell Admitted To Fang-Banging 'Rusty Thumbs' Amid FBI Investigation Into Illegal Donations: Docs
  • Trump Hails Mecca Defense Pact As 'Big, Bold, Important First Step'
  • For The American Left, Nothing Succeeds As Much As Failure
  • Kushner Holds Talks With Netanyahu On Gaza Peace Plan
  • Key Events This Week: FOMC Minutes, PMIs, Industrial Data; WalMart And Home Depot Earnings
  • AI Pledge Allegiance To The Flag
  • China Economic Growth 'Downside Risk' Looms; Goldman Warns After July Macro-Miss-Fest
  • Iran Shifts From Defensive To 'Fully Offensive' Posture, Denies Trump Has Backchannel With IRGC
  • "US Can't Bomb Its Way To Victory": Scotiabank Maps Bessent's Coming Economic Hammer On Iran
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