Skip to main content
The FYCKL Project
No AI. No Bull.

Main navigation

  • Home
User account menu
  • Log in

Breadcrumb

  1. Home

Aggregator

China's "National Team" Dumped ETFs In Q1 To Cool Overheating Market

Zero Rss
1 month 3 weeks ago
China's "National Team" Dumped ETFs In Q1 To Cool Overheating Market

For years, and especially after the local stock bubble burst in spectacular fashion a little over a decade ago, China's "National Team" - a polite euphemism for the country's Plunge Protection Team - could be relied upon to step in and provide a lending hand - or rather buying hand - to stabilize stocks in the nick of time. Well, it may be time to rename it to the Surge Protection Team

According to Bloomberg, China’s “national team” has stepped back from its dominant role in the country’s biggest stock ETFs, pointing to efforts to rein in an overheated rally earlier this year.

Central Huijin Investment Ltd - a core unit of China’s sovereign wealth fund that traditionally led a group of state-backed investors used to stabilize markets - cut its ownership in several key exchange‑traded funds to below the 20% disclosure threshold, according to first‑quarter filings. Its current stake is unclear and won't be reported until sometime in the summer. 

The disclosures, according to Bloomberg, offer the clearest confirmation yet that the national team cut a substantial portion of its ETF holdings in January, as turnover hit a record and the rally turned increasingly speculative, particularly in parts of the technology sector. They also indicate Beijing is no longer just propping up the market, but is willing to drain speculative excess — a break from past rescue playbooks.

Central Huijin and its asset management arm may have reduced their holdings by at least half in flagship products such as the 200 billion yuan ($29.3 billion) Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF. The two entities held 42.6% and 40% respectively as of the end of last year.

Even smaller funds such as the HuaAn SSE 180 ETF, previously 92% owned by the national team, reported no single shareholder above the 20% threshold, indicating the stakes were cut across the board. 

Quarterly ETF filings only require disclosure of investors with holdings of 20% or more, a threshold Central Huijin had consistently met until local stocks erupted higher in Q1.

While ownership levels can fluctuate as others trade, the sharp decline in total ETF units outstanding during the period suggests the market’s dominant buyer until recently played a decisive role in the outflows.

Remarkably, some of the National Team sales might have locked in gains of around 50%, based on the rise of the CSI 300 Index from early‑2024 lows, when the national team began aggressively buying ETFs to stem a market meltdown, through January this year, when the selling likely took place. The exact returns would depend on the specific ETFs and the timing of those purchases.

The scale of the stake reductions may become clearer with first-half filings due in the third quarter, when the identities and holdings of the top 10 investors are revealed.

Morgan Stanley estimates the national team sold about $80 billion of positions in January and February. Analysts including Laura Wang expect the money to be used for investing in longer-term, more “strategic and thematic” ETFs.

“The fact that they have relinquished this dominant position in ETFs implies that they have much more potential to create upside in the market going forward, sitting on cash, while their power to create downside is now diminished,” said Cheng Hao, fund manager at Zhejiang Feiluo Assets Management.

And now that the National Team is mostly in cash, local stocks can drop again and the government will be there to prop them up again. Rinse. Repeat. 

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 19:15
Tyler Durden

Southern Poverty Law Center donors include George Soros, JPMorgan, George Clooney — as nonprofit ‘funneled’ millions to hate groups

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
The group's nearly $800 million in assets has come from donors including OpenAI, Chick-Fil-A, and George Soros
Isabel Vincent, Jared Downing

Grieving mom of NYC teen killed in park slams no-show Mamdani: ‘He should have been there’

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
Jaden Pierre's family said Mayor Zohran Mamdani has yet to reach out to them following the teen's tragic death last week.
Georgett Roberts, Jorge Fitz-Gibbon

Elon Musk says Tesla expenses will rise ‘substantially in the future’ as he funds AI and robotic dreams

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
Tesla is in the middle of one of the most expensive bets in its history as Musk pivoted to building artificial-intelligence-powered self-driving cabs and humanoid robots.
Reuters

Nikki Glaser suffers wardrobe malfunction on ‘Live with Kelly and Mark’: ‘You can see your underpants’

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
Glaser's minidress failed her during her Wednesday appearance on "Live with Kelly and Mark."
mliss1578

Nikki Glaser suffers wardrobe malfunction on ‘Live with Kelly and Mark’: ‘You can see your underpants’

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
Glaser's minidress failed her during her Wednesday appearance on "Live with Kelly and Mark."
Audrey Rock

6 leading California gubernatorial candidates to face off in first major debate

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
The California governor's race has gone through a dramatic change since the last time candidates took the stage.
California Post Staff

AI is flattening the jobs market for young people, says Sunak

BBC Tech
1 month 3 weeks ago
The former prime minister said graduates' concerns about getting entry-level jobs are justified.

John Harbaugh in position to swing Giants fortunes in 2026 NFL Draft with key needs to fill

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
There are days that can change a franchise.
Paul Schwartz

Tesla Slides After Unexpectedly Raising 2026 CapEx Guidance To $25BN

Zero Rss
1 month 3 weeks ago
Tesla Slides After Unexpectedly Raising 2026 CapEx Guidance To $25BN

Update: In our original review of the Tesla earnings, which were solid enough to push the stock over $400 ahead of the earnings call, we said that something about the CapEx seemed off, namely that at just $2.5 billion in Q1 (and the reason why free cash flow was positive), Tesla's run-rate was about half behind its $20 billion full year capex projection.

TSLA free cash flow positive since Q1 capex was only $2.5BN, half the run-rate it should be implied by the $20BN guidance https://t.co/DI30b9ksR4 pic.twitter.com/xTIOQgSwy6

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) April 22, 2026

The company confirmed as much, with the CFO saying on the call that it would see negative free cash flow for the rest of 2026. 

But what really trapdoored the stock was Musk starting off the call by saying that Tesla is going to be “substantially increasing” their investments in the future and to expect to see significant increase in capital expenditures. How significant? Well, Tesla now see CapEx at a whopping $25 billion in 2026, a $5 billion increase from the previous guidance. How did Elon Musk justify this? Because, as Bloomberg's conference call readalong said, "Musk framed the warning that Tesla will ramp up CapEx in the context of (and yes I am paraphrasing) but: "
"everyone else did."

If that wasn't enough, Tesla also said it would significantly increase vehicle production, which in light of the company's surging car inventory and still rather tepid demand (unless of course gas goes to $5), could be a problem. And just to keep folks guessing about where even more cash burn could come from, Musk concludes saying that “Tesla is working on a lot of large, ambitious projects."

To be sure, TSLA is not the first company to be punished for raising Capex: both Meta and Microsoft tumbled last quarter after aggressive capex boosts, but at least they had comfortable positive free cash flow. Tesla does not, and suddenly the market is on edge.

As Karobaar Capital’s Haris Khurshid said on TSLA's postmarket stock reversal: “Higher capex pushes the payoff further out, which the market tends to push back on in the short term. The print pulls [the stock] up, then the call brings it back once the timeline comes into focus. Investors like the story but then keep resetting when they realize how much still needs to be delivered.”

So yeah: while Tesla hit all the right notes with its earnings report, the call was a mess, because as Bloomberg's Kit Carlson writes, "spending has been a huge concern for many investors and analysts, even ahead of this new increase" and sure enough, TSLA stock tumbled after hours, sliding from a session high of $406 to $377 before stabilizing around $383, erasing all after hours gains and then some.

* * *

Earlier:

Heading into today's TSLA earnings, Wall Street was braced for a miss, with debate only around how big it would be. Well, it wouldn't be an Elon Musk joint if there wasn't some big twist, and sure enough, the stocks is soaring after hour on what can only be described as a very big, and very unexpected beat.

Here is what the company reported for the first quarter:

  • Rev. $22.39B, beating Est. $22.19B
  • Adj EPS 41c, beating Est. 34c, the second straight quarter Tesla’s earnings beat expectations.
    • EPS 13c vs. 12c Y/Y
  • Gross Margin 21.1%, beating Est. 17.7%
  • Auto Gross Margin Ex-Reg Credit 19.2% vs 12.5% Y/Y
  • Free Cash Flow positive $1.44B, beating est. Negative $1.86B

Perhaps the most interesting of the above, besides the modest beats in revenue (which benefited from positive FX impact of about $900 million in the quarter translating into $200 million at the bottom line; as well as higher average selling prices) and EPS, is that despite weak EV and energy unit sales, Tesla’s reported gross margins in both businesses are up. Generally, fixed costs spread over fewer units puts pressure on GPM, all else equal. The auto margin, less credits, of 19.2% is up q-o-q and y-o-y. In energy, despite lower revenue both sequentially and versus last year, Tesla reports what looks like a record gross margin for that business of almost 40%.

Yet while Tesla turned in higher auto gross margins than expected, given weak sales, that fades away when reading down the P&L: operating margin of just 4.2%. 

Meanwhile, earnings continue to subsist heavily on a diet of regulatory credit sales, which in Q1 dropped to 381 million from $337 million a year ago, and net interest income.

And visually:

Here is the qualitative YoY comparison:

Starting at the top, it's no surprise that that TSLA likes soaring gas prices, which have helped a "rebound in demand" in the core US market, to wit:  “We saw continued growth in demand for our vehicles in markets in APAC and South America, while also seeing a rebound of demand in both EMEA and North America.”

The surprisingly optimistic comments come several weeks after the automaker reported one of its worst quarters of auto sales in years. 

Here is how TSLA laid out its automotive business" We are focused on optimizing our vehicle product portfolio, with an emphasis on vehicles designed for a fully autonomous future. We continued the launch of Model 3 and Model Y trims globally, including the roll-out of the Model YL in markets outside of China and more affordable trims of both models. We also began deliveries of Cybertruck in the UAE."

Unlike recent quarters, we didn’t have an “other updates” section with a surprise investment, there’s minimal change in language and if anything it projects a lot of confidence in core business. In short, a "no surprises, no drama" print.

One key metric that is also key to Elon Musk’s pay package, is active FSD subscriptions. They were up slightly this quarter to 1.28 million from 1.1 million at the end of 4Q, and up a whoppint 51% YoY.

There were some working capital issues: global inventory spiked to 27 days, up from 15 days, which was to be expected given that Tesla produced more than 50,000 cars than it delivered in 4Q, but still that’s a lot of inventory to clear.

And speaking of inventory, Tesla has overcapacity in its factories, so now the company is rolling out the Model YL (Long) in “markets outside of China” and more affordable trims of both models. It also began deliveries of cybertruck in the UAE.

While energy storage had been Tesla’s fastest-growing sector but that trend failed to continue into the first quarter, when year-over-year revenue slipped 12% and quarterly deployments of 8.8 gigawatt-hours were the lowest in a year. This is what it had to say about the business:

"Progress continued at the new Megafactory outside Houston, which will produce the Megapack 3 for Megablock. Start of production is on track for later this year. We began meaningful customer deployments of Tesla’s first in-house designed solar panel produced at Gigafactory New York. The new panel has 18 individual power zones – 3x more than a conventional residential panel – enabling it to reliably produce more energy in shady conditions. Other innovations include improved aesthetics and faster and simpler installation." 

Turning to the far more important robotics business, the company expects the first large-scale Optimus factory to start in Q2. The first generation line, designed for 1 million robots a year, will replace the Model S and Model X lines in Fremont. The company is also preparing Gigafactory Texas for the second-generation line, which is being designed for long-term annual production capacity of 10 million robots.

Turning to AI, Tesla said that "Cortex 2 is now online and has started running training workloads." Tesla continues to ramp its onsite training infrastructure to ensure sufficient compute resources for the development of our AI products and services and "are also continuing our custom silicon development with Dojo 3 in an effort to reduce the cost of training over time."

In the battery business, "ramp has begun across our new battery and material factories, including LFP cells in Nevada, cathode material and lithium refining in Texas." Battery pack capacity continues to be the limiting factor on ramping our vehicle production the company said.

What is the company's other supporting infrastructure? This is what it had to say: "Gigafactory New York is now producing V4 Supercharging cabinets, which boast 3x the power density and 2x the number of stalls per cabinet compared to V3. Alongside the ramp of Tesla Semi, we are deploying public Megachargers, including our first one in Southern California. While we aim to leverage as much of our existing investments as possible, we continue to build out our supporting infrastructure for our vehicle and mobility businesses, including Robotaxi expansion, across established and growth markets around the world. In Q1, we added over 2,200 net new Supercharging stalls, growing the network 19% year-over-year. This year we look to increase our presence in Japan by doubling our service centers and expanding our Supercharger coverage in the world's third largest vehicle market"

The company's outlook was generally very favorable:

  • Volume: "We are focused on maximum capacity utilization at our factories. Deliveries and deployments will be impacted by aggregate demand for our products, supply chain readiness and allocation decisions between sale to customers or use for our owned and operated fleet."
  • Cash: "We will manage the businesses such that we ensure a strong balance sheet, maintaining sufficient liquidity to fund our product roadmap, long-term capacity expansion plans – including further vertical integration – and other expenses."
  • Profit: "While we continue to execute on innovations to reduce the cost of manufacturing and operations, over time, we expect our hardwarerelated profits to be accompanied by an acceleration of AI, software and fleet-based profits."
  • Product: "We continue to evolve and augment our product lineup with a focus on cost, scale and future monetization opportunities via services powered by our AI software. We remain focused on growing our sales volumes through a differentiated and efficiently managed product portfolio, which includes leveraging and optimizing our existing production capacity before building new factories and production lines. Cybercab, Tesla Semi and Megapack 3 are on schedule for volume production starting in 2026. First-generation production lines for Optimus are being installed in anticipation of volume production. Capacity build out and ramp related to our multi-year infrastructure initiatives, including AI compute, solar, battery material and semiconductor manufacturing are underway."

There was yet another sign of convergence between Elon Musk’s companies: 

“Our partnership with SpaceX aims to build the largest chip fab ever: vertically integrating logic, memory and advanced packaging to allow for rapid iteration as we anticipate greater chip demand than what existing and planned industry capacity can accommodate. This begins with the Tesla-owned Research Fab on our Gigafactory Texas campus.”

As for Terafab, we already knew that this mega project would start with a pilot line. But what’s interesting is this is Tesla’s and not a part of the joint-venture with SpaceX/xAI. Here’s what the deck says:

“This begins with the Tesla-owned Research Fab on our Gigafactory Texas campus.”

Last but not least, TSLA surprised the market by reporting a positive free cash flow...

... but Tesla pulled a number of levers:

  • Stock-based comp nearly 2x, year-over-year
  • Big swing in accounts payable and receivables add ~$1.9B, offsetting much of the big inventory headwind
  • Most of all, capex at just $2.5B, or only about half the run-rate implied by guidance

Also don't expect free cash flow to remain positive: Tesla is working to ramp up production as part of a more than $20 billion spending plan this year. For the first three months of the year, however, Tesla spent less than $2.5 billion, half the outlay the company will need to average per quarter to reach its expenditure forecast for the year. This contributed to Tesla posting $1.4 billion in positive free cash flow for the quarter, far better than analysts’ expectation that the carmaker would burn through almost $1.9 billion.

Looking ahead the company is excited "about Tesla’s positioning in 2026 with tailwinds persisting for the autos business, our continued progress on FSD (Supervised), the ramp of Robotaxi, progress on Optimus ahead of mass production and the growth of our energy production capacity"

Amusingly, TSLA's outlook slide didn't have a single number in it.

Judging by the stock reaction, the market is also excited, and as Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist Steve Sosnick writes, this print is “good enough.” He highlighted the adjusted profit and revenue beats as well as the “surprise” positive flip to free cash flow. “The car business improved, and there is nothing that disrupts the futurism that juices Tesla’s valuation. Now it’s up to what Musk says on the call”

Others, like Adam Sarhan, of 50 Park Investments, were also happy: "The real story isn’t just these numbers — it’s the execution on the roadmap. The trajectory feels constructive. Longer term, I’m still very bullish on Tesla’s positioning in AI, robotics, and energy. These results show resilience and set up better comps ahead. The market will digest the forward commentary tonight, but the fundamentals are pointing up."

That said, the initial euphoric reaction may moderate if analysts interrogate this idea of rebounding demand on the earnings call, given that Tesla has loads of cars in inventory right now. 

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 19:00
Tyler Durden

‘The Balusters’ review: A hilarious clash of wackos on Broadway

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
It’s the Battle of the Affluent! 
Johnny Oleksinski

Kalen DeBoer gets new seven-year Alabama contract to make him top-five highest-paid coach

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
Kalen DeBoer has a new contract. 
Dylan Svoboda

Mariners’ Logan Gilbert catches 108 mph liner with his jersey — here’s why it was a ruled a hit

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
Logan Gilbert is probably thanking his lucky stars he's OK after a 108 mph screamer came right at him on the mound.
Andrew Battifarano

Notoriously liberal California city paid $607K to nonprofit and politically connected subcontractor for disastrous cannabis program

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
A taxpayer-funded youth cannabis program and a politically connected subcontractor in Berkeley burned through $607,000, yet still came up empty-handed.
Nina Joudeh

Manhattan DA’s office worker accused of groping woman on rush-hour NYC subway train

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
Tauhid Dewan, 28 – a Community Associate for the DA’s office – allegedly made “inappropriate contact” with the 40-year-old victim’s private area around 5 p.m. Tuesday on board a No. 7 train at Junction Blvd and Roosevelt Avenue, police said. 
Amanda Woods

Here’s how Trump can throw the White House Correspondents’ Dinner for a loop

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
The president might play offense at the Washington media's self-congratulatory shindig — or hit them with a curveball they'd never expect.
Cal Thomas

Southern Poverty Law Center weaponized hate — and hurt the innocent

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
By both paying old-school racists and expanding its pool of targets, the SPLC engaged in a two-pronged strategy to keep hate alive.
Maud Maron

‘Hate awareness’ SPLC spread hate to spur donations, and the larger left didn’t care

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
It seems the Southern Poverty Law Center paid millions to racist “extremists” to spread hate that the SPLC then cited as it called for donations
Post Editorial Board

Giants mascot messes with Shohei Ohtani, who tells on him to Dodgers manager

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
Shohei Ohtani gets playfully trolled by Giants mascot Lou Seal during a viral on-deck moment. The Dodgers star still extends his on-base streak to 53 games.
Michael Duarte

Party city: NYC’s third Real Estate Gala draws property power players

NY Post
1 month 3 weeks ago
Before Twitter became X, neighborhood strip center owner Don Tepman thought it would be fun if his social media contacts could get together in real life. A meetup, Tepman thought, might turn his few dozen online contacts into real relationships. But after his StripMallGuy cartoon asked if anyone wanted to come, it turned out everyone...
Lois Weiss

Pagination

  • First page
  • Previous page
  • …
  • Page 1036
  • Page 1037
  • Page 1038
  • Page 1039
  • Page 1040
  • Page 1041
  • Page 1042
  • Page 1043
  • Page 1044
  • …
  • Next page
  • Last page

zero rss

News feeds

  • Sweden Passes Law To Revoke Residence Permits From Migrants Who Fail 'Good-Behavior' Test
  • Suckers? 44% Of EU Citizens Feel Well-Protected In The Digital World
  • Hegseth Orders Review Of US Force Posture In Europe, Warns NATO Laggards Of Consequences
  • Is Trump Preparing To "Escalate To De-Escalate" With Russia?
  • The Cost Of Helium-3: Earth Sources Vs The Moon
  • Pentagon Restores Pacific Command Name, Reversing 2018 'Indo-Pacific' Rebrand
  • Which States Brew The Most Craft Beer?
  • Washington's Business Exodus
  • Amazon Plans $10B Missouri Data Center Campus
  • US Security Chief Says One Suspected Terrorist Is Arrested At Canadian Border 'Almost Weekly'
More

zero rss

Copyright (c) 2026 FYCKL Project