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US crude oil falls below $70 a barrel despite Iranian attack on cargo ship
UMich Sentiment Rebounds From 46-Year Record Low In June, Inflation Fears Fade Further
Having rebounded from record (46 year) lows in preliminary June data, University of Michigan's final June Sentiment survey was expected to show further improvement as gas prices have fallen since the US-Iran 'peace' MoU signing.
And it did with the headline index rising from 48.9 flash and 44.8 prior to 49.5 (but that was below the 50.0 expectation)...
Both Current Conditions and the Expectations Index also rebounded with the former outperforming...
Consumer sentiment confirmed its early-month reading, rising about 10% above May as gas prices moderated.
"Increases were seen across income, wealth, and political affiliation," Joanne Hsu, director of the survey, said in a statement.
Expected business conditions over the next five years surged 16% as consumers’ worries over long-term consequences of the Iran conflict appear to be easing.
"Still, sentiment remains in unfavorable territory at 13% below the February 2026 reading prior to the start of the Iran conflict, and nearly 20% less than a year ago."
Year-ahead inflation expectations inched down from 4.8% in May to a still-elevated 4.6% this month.
The current reading substantially exceeds the 3.4% reading seen in February before the Iran conflict began, along with all 2024 readings.
Long-run inflation expectations fell back from 3.9% last month to 3.3% in June, remaining a bit higher than the 2.8% to 3.2% range seen in 2024.
A gauge of consumers’ perceptions of their personal finances also improved from May, though remained close to the lowest since 2009.
Even so, US household demand has proved resilient.
However, “the cost of living remains at the forefront of consumers’ minds,” Hsu concludes.
“Over half of consumers spontaneously mentioned that high prices are weighing down their personal finances.”
Tyler Durden Fri, 06/26/2026 - 10:08
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Musk's Starlink Plots To Become A Mobile Carrier; TD Cowen Sees Possible T-Mobile Buyout
The signs were already in plain sight that Elon Musk’s Starlink was positioning itself to challenge the big three U.S. wireless operators: Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile.
One of the clearest signals was SpaceX's $17 billion deal for EchoStar wireless spectrum last year, followed by a recent trademark filing for "Starlink Mobile."
We noted in December:
Now, the Financial Times reports that SpaceX Chief Operating Officer Gwynne Shotwell told institutional investors during the IPO roadshow that the company is considering selling mobile contracts directly to consumers and may eventually build its own terrestrial U.S. mobile network.
"The move would require Starlink to build a new retail offering by selling mobile contracts to individual customers, competing directly with the three big US network operators Verizon Wireless, AT&T and T-Mobile," FT wrote in a note.
Elon going for the phone after all
SpaceX Plans New Starlink Mobile Service for US Consumers: FT
The plan follows SpaceX's $17 billion purchase of EchoStar spectrum licenses last fall, a deal that could be viewed as the foundation for a terrestrial mobile network.
"A direct-to-consumer mobile offering would give SpaceX access to a far larger market than satellite broadband alone, potentially reducing its reliance on telecoms partners that currently act as intermediaries between Starlink’s satellites and end users," FT wrote in the report.
Starlink has already signed a number of deals with carriers, notably with T-Mobile:
Pathways for Starlink:
TD Cowen analyst Gregory Williams told clients that if SpaceX/Starlink fail to secure an MVNO/retail mobile deal, then the next logical move would be to acquire T-Mobile.
Williams explained why:
Acquire a U.S. Wireless Carrier. Should SpaceX fail to reach an MVNO deal, or simply desires owners' economics and quickly, T-Mobile seems to us the clear choice given their momentum (HSD % growth), maverick culture, pure-play wireless provider, and existing Starlink partnership. Another thought would be to acquire AT&T. SpaceX could sell AT&T's fiber homes (LEO solutions will likely have a very difficult time succeeding in a Cable/Fiber overlapped footprint) at ~$2,500/home essentially paying for AT&T's wireless network at a far less expensive price compared to T-Mobile. As for financing, SpaceX could theoretically execute a secondary offering for only modest dilution to its current substantial market cap.
Williams noted that any Starlink entry into the wireless industry is bearish for legacy operators.
He continued:
Any entry of SpaceX could be highly bearish for the wireless industry. As such, we are hopeful but not convinced that no carrier will budge and cave on an MVNO agreement. As for M&A, SpaceX would need a willing seller. With T-Mobile the best fit, this SpaceX dynamic could be what motivated T-Mobile owner Deutsche Telekom to seek total ownership and control of its US cash cow subsidiary as reported in April (LINK). In a defensive move, T-Mobile could acquire a cable company. While investors could roll their eyes on purchasing "yesterday's technology", and it would be an overt contradiction to T-Mobile management's messaging, a cable acquisition could serve two purposes.
Related:
Starlink's true intention was revealed by Musk last fall:
2/ $ASTS: Key excerpts from the interview Starlink's true intention of competing against MNOs comes out:
Chamath: "Elon is your vision for this that instead of you know having an AT&T account and then roaming when you're in the UK or in India, we could have one direct deal with… pic.twitter.com/fkGuXHd3iF
Speculation mounts...
Tyler Durden Fri, 06/26/2026 - 09:50